PUBLICATIONS

The IAHS PUB (Predictions in Ungauged Basins) initiative, launched in Brasilia in November 2002, will run for 10 years. This book presents peer-reviewed papers selected from a symposium held at Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil, in April 2005, which coincided with the completion of Phase 1 (the preparation phase) of PUB and provided the opportunity for the global PUB community to get together to discuss the progress that had been achieved, to identify areas of weakness or lack of activity, re-iterate the plans and promises of PUB, and to make necessary modifications or refinements to the PUB implementation activities with a view to achieving faster and more demonstrable progress in the future. Guided by the PUB Science and Implementation Plan, in the book the papers are organized into five sections that focus on the distinct PUB themes: 1 Model Improvements Through Detailed Process Studies; 2 Model Evaluation and Comparison: Uncertainty Analysis and Diagnostics; 3 New Data Collection Approaches and Model Development; 4 New Modelling Approaches and Methods for Testing Models Against Observations; 5 Progress in PUB Implementation: PUB Working Groups.

Contents for Predictions in Ungauged Basins: Promises and Progress M. Sivapalan et al.

Title	Pages	File
Contents Murugesu Sivapalan, Thorsten Wagener, Stefan Uhlenbrook, Erwin Zehe, Venkat Lakshmi, Xu Li	v-viii
PUB: Promise and Progress: Introduction Murugesu Sivapalan, Thorsten Wagener, Stefan Uhlenbrook, Erwin Zehe, Venkat Lakshmi, Xu Li	1
Model Improvements Through Detailed Process Studies Stefan Uhlenbrook and Xu Liang	5-6
Hydrological conceptual models of two Haute-Mentue subcatchments through environmental tracing and TDR soil moisture measurements Daniela Balin, Christophe Joerin & Andre Musy	7-14
Identification of flow pathways along hillslopes using electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) Stefan Uhlenbrook & Jochen Wenninger	15-20
Using factor analysis and end-member mixing techniques to infer sources of runoff generation Corinna Abesser, Ruth Robinson & Chris Soulsby	21-29
Process-based strategies for model structural improvement and reduction of model prediction uncertainty Kellie B. Vache & Jeffrey J. Mcdonnell	30-37
Analysis of process controls on streamflow response in an Australian tropical catchment Laura Montanari, Murugesu Sivapalan & Alberto Montanari	38-46
Evaluation of a grid-based distributed hydrological model over a large area Victor Koren, Fekadu Moreda, Seann Reed, Michael Smith & Ziya Zhang	47-56
PAI-OFF: a new strategy for online flood forecasting in mountainous catchments J. Cullmann, G. H. Schmitz & W. Gorner	57-68
Model Evaluation and Comparison : Uncertainty Analysis and Diagnostics Thorsten Wagener	69-71
Water resources estimation in less developed regions - issues of uncertainty associated with a lack of data Denis A. Hughes	72-79
Evaluating uncertainty in modelled sediment delivery in data-sparse environments: application to the Mae Chaem Catchment, Thailand David A. Post & Michael G. Hartcher	80-89
Bayesian kriging and GLUE applied to estimation of uncertainty due to precipitation representation in hydrological modelling Luciano Nobrega Rodrigues Xavier, Afonso Augusto Araujo De Magalhaes & Otto Correa Rotunn	90-98
Evaluation of water quantity and quality modelling in ungauged European basins Berit Arheimer	99-107
Identification of a river water quality model and assessment of data information content Michael Rode & Gunter Wriedt	108-115
Influence of rating curve uncertainty on daily rainfall-runoff model predictions Giuseppe T. Aronica, Angela Candela, Francesco Viola, & Marcella Cannarozzo	116-124
Parameterization of frozen ground effects: sensitivity to soil properties Victor Koren	125-133
The Multi-Model approach to rainfall-runoff modelling Adam M. Wyatt & Stewart W. Franks	134-144
Hydrological model evaluation and comparison through uncertainty recognition and quantification Shen Chiang, Yasuto Tachikawa & Kaoru Takara	145-152
Evaluation of the Xinanjiang model structure by observed discharge and gauged soil moisture data in the HUBEX/GAME Project Liliang Ren, Qiong Huang, Fei Yuan, Jixin Wang, Jing Xu, Zhongbo Yu & Xinren Liu	153-163
Multi-objective conditioning of a SVAT model for heat and CO2 fluxes prediction Xingguo Mo, Suxia Liu, Zhonghui Lin, Xiaomin Sun & Zhilin Zhu	164-176
Uncertainty propagation in a sequential model for flood forecasting Renata J. Romanowicz, Keith J. Beven & Peter C. Young	177-184
New data Collection, Approaches and Model Development Venkat Lakshmi	185-186
Role of spatial aggregation over runoff calculations on southeast France catchments Nabil J. Eid, Flavie Cernesson, Nathalie Folton & Pascal Kosuth	187-194
Influence of spatial variability of precipitation in a distributed rainfall-runoff model Tapash Das, Andras Bardossy & Erwin Zehe	195-203
The frequency of precipitation days in the Yangtze River basin Yijin Wu, Stefan Becker, Lorenz King, Hsiang-Te Kung, Tong Jiang, Heike Hartmann & Wenjing	204-213
Estimating the potential evapotranspiration over the Yellow River basin by considering the land cover characteristics M. C. Zhou, H. Ishidaira & K. Takeuchi	214-225
Assimilation of remotely sensed soil saturation levels in conceptual rainfall-runoff models Patrick Matgen, Jean-Baptiste Henry, Lucien Hoffmann & Laurent Pfister	226-234
Investigation of the effect of a coupled land-atmosphere satellite data assimilation system on land-atmosphere processes Souhail Boussetta,Toshio Koike, Mahadevan Pathmathevan & Kun Yang	235-245
Hydrological modelling in Amazonia - use of the MGB-IPH model and alternative databases Alfredo Ribeiro Neto, Walter Collischonn, Rui Carlos Vieira Da Silva & Carlos E. M. Tucci	246-254
A new approach for the numerical modelling of the groundwater flow in the fractured rock massifs Jiri Maryska, Otto Severyn, Miloslav Tauchman & David Tondr	255-266
PUB and water resources management practises in Nigeria Olusegun Adeaga, Lekan Oyebande & Idowu Balogun	267-273
Frequency-domain analyses of GPR waveforms: enhancing near-surface observational capabilities Guy Serbin & Dani Or	274-285
Water level change in wells - a predictor for earthquakes? Joseph Guttman, Akiva Flexer & Annat Yellin-Dror	286-290
New Modelling Approaches and methods for testing models against Observations Erwin Zehe and Yasuto Tachikawa	291-292
Physically-based model of heat and water transfer in frozen soil and its parameterization by basic soil data Alexander Gelfan	293-304
Effect of soil shrinkage on runoff generation in micro and mesoscale catchments Falk Lindenmaier, Erwin Zehe, Martin Helms, Oleg Evdakov & J�rgen Ihringer	305-317
Modelling flood plain vegetation based on long-term simulations of daily river-groundwater dynamics Bruno Buchele, Peter Burek, Ralf Baufeld & Ilona Leyer	318-333
Indirect assessment of flooding duration as a driving factor of plant diversity in wet grasslands Cyrille Violle, Christophe Cudennec, Manuel Plantegenest, Christian Damgaard, Didier Le Co	334-341
Effects of conservation tillage on storm flow: a model-based assessment for a mesoscale watershed in Germany Ingo Haag, Annette Luce & Kai Gerlinger	342-350
Assessing the predictive ability of the spatially distributed conceptual AFFDEF model for a mesoscale catchment Tapash Das, Greta Moretti, Andras Bardossy & Alberto Montanari	351-359
Large basin simulation experience in South America Daniel Gustavo Allasia, Benedito Claudio da Silva, Walter Collischonn & Carlos Eduardo Mor	360-370
Distributed rainfall-runoff analysis in a flow regulated basin having multiple multi-purpose dams Takahiro Sayama, Yasuto Tachikawa, Kaoru Takara & Yutaka Ichikawa	371-381
Surface runoff simulation for part of Yewa basin Olusegun Adeaga, Lekan Oyebande & Christian Depraetere	382-390
Inversion d'une modelisation de type hydrogramme unitaire a base geomorphologique: interpretation physique et premiere mise en oeuvre Houda Boudhraa, Christophe Cudennec, Mohamed Slimani & Herve Andrieu	391-399
Numerical modelling of water transfer among precipitation, surface water, soil moisture and groundwater Xi Chen, Zhicai Zhang & Yongqin David Chen	400-413
Disaggregation of upslope catchment area and steepest slope for transferring geomorphometric information across scales Nawa R. Pradhan, Yasuto Tachikawa & Kaoru Takara	414-421
A multi-level and multi-scale structure of river network geomorphometry with potential implications towards basin hydrology Christophe Cudennec, Jean-Christophe Pouget, Houda Boudhraa, Mohamed Slimani & Slah Nasri	422-430
Application of the wavelet transform for analysis of precipitation and runoff time series Celso Augusto G. Santos & Sandra Maria Araujo Ideiao	431-440
Progress in PUB Implementation (PUB Working Groups) Murugesu Sivapalan	441-442
The PUB Top-Down Modelling Working Group (TDWG): initial development and activities Ian G. Littlewood, Barry F. W. Croke & David A. Post	443-453
Towards an uncertainty framework for predictions in ungauged basins: The Uncertainty Working Group Thorsten Wagener, Jim Freer, Erwin Zehe,Keith Beven, Hoshin V. Gupta & Andras Bardossy	454-462
MEDCLUB - starting line and first activities Mauro Fiorentino, Domenico Carriero, Vito Iacobellis, Salvatore Manfreda & Ivan Portoghese	463-476
Groundwater pollution and risks for the coastal environment (southeastern Italy) Maurizio Polemio & Pier Paolo Limoni	477-486
Canadian PUB planning and implementation Christopher Spence, John W. Pomeroy & Alain Pietroniro	487-491
Research initiatives in Thailand on Predictions in Ungauged Basins Dushmanta Dutta, Chavalit Chaleeraktrakoon & Saisunee Budhakooncharoen	492-504
PUB Working Group on Orographic Precipitation, Surface Water and Groundwater Interactions, and their Impacts on Water Resources Xu Liang, L. Ruby Leung, Maoyi Huang, Yun Qian, Mark S. Wigmosta, George B. Matanga & Dave	505-516