PUBLICATIONS

The atmosphere is the primary driving force for all hydrological processes, yet the availability of spatially and temporally reliable hydrometeorological information remains a critical issue in many hydrological studies. The problem is made more urgent by the suggestion that a warmer climate will lead to an intensification of the hydrological cycle, and to an increase in the frequency of extreme events. In order to accurately represent and understand the impact of climate dynamics on the development of freshwater resources, water management tools that account for the coupled land–atmosphere system are needed. Indeed, the derivation of spatially and temporally representative hydrometeorological data and their accurate representation in water management tools is important to predict current and future developments in freshwater resources, and the influence of changing climate and land surface patterns due to intensified human activities. The contributions in this volume consider the uncertainties in the end-to-end prediction of hydrological variables, beginning with the atmospheric driving, and ending with the hydrological calculations for scientifically-sound decisions in sustainable water management. The book is organized in two main parts; the first addresses the Quantification and reduction of predictive uncertainty in hydrometeorological forcing, and the second includes studies aiming at Minimizing risks in water management decisions by improving the understanding and spatial representation of the coupled land–atmosphere system

Contents for Quantification and Reduction of Predictive Uncertainty for Sustainable Water Resources Management

Title	Pages	File
Quantification and Reduction of Predictive Uncertainty for Sustainable Water Resources Management, Symposium held in Perugia (2007) Eva Boegh, Harald Kunstmann, Thorsten Wagener, Alan Hall, Luis Bastidas, Stewart Franks, H
Preface of Volume 313 Eva Boegh, Harald Kunstmann, Thorsten Wagener, Alan Hall, Luis Bastidas, Stewart Franks, H	v-vii
Reducing uncertainty in selecting climate models for hydrological impact assessments - A. J. Pitman & S. E. Perkins A. J. Pitman & S. E. Perkins	3-15
Multi-model climate change scenarios for southwest Western Australia and potential impacts on streamflow - G. Fu & S. P. Charles Guobin Fu & Stephen P. Charles	16-23
Propagation of convection in Africa: implications for predictability of precipitation - A. Laing et al. Arlene Laing, Richard Carbone & Vincenzo Levizzani	24-32
GPS and satellite meteorology for understanding monsoon dynamics over the Indian sub-continent - A. K. Prasad et al. Anup K. Prasad, Ramesh P. Singh, Shatrughan Singh & Dip S. Nanda	33-39
Linking the West African monsoon's onset with atmospheric circulation patterns - P. Laux et al. Patrick Laux, Harald Kunstmann & Andras Bardossy	40-50
A multi-index approach to inflow prediction for water resources management - S. W. Franks & A. M. Wyatt Stewart W. Franks & Adam M. Wyatt	51-58
Space–time representativity of precipitation for rainfall–runoff modelling: experience from some case studies - U. Haberlandt et al. Uwe Haberlandt, Anna-Dorothea Ebner von Eschenbach, Aslan Belli & Christian Gattke	61-69
Uncertainty characterization in a combined IR/microwave scheme for remote sensing of precipitation - C. De Marchi et al. Carlo De Marchi, Aris Georgakakos & Christa Peters-Lidard	70-77
Empirically-based generator of synthetic radar-rainfall data - G. Villarini et al. Gabriele Villarini, Witold F. Krajewski & Grzegorz J. Ciach	78-85
Uncertainties in water balance estimations due to scarce meteorological information: a case study for the White Volta catchment in West Africa - S. Wagner et al. Sven Wagner, Harald Kunstmann & Andras Bardossy	86-97
Assessment of rainfall and evaporation input data uncertainties on simulated runoff in southern Africa - T. Sawunyama & D. Hughes Tendai Sawunyama & Denis Hughes	98-106
GEWEX Hydrology - A. J. Hall et al. Alan J. Hall, Richard G. Lawford, John O. Roads, John C. Schaake & Eric F. Wood	109-126
Hydrological predictability investigation of global data sets for high-latitude river basins - Y. M. Gusev et al. Yeugeniy M. Gusev, Olga N. Nasonova, Larisa Y. Dzhogan & Yeugeniy E. Kovalev	127-133
Integrated atmospheric and hydrologic modelling for short-term and basin-scale forecasts in a tropical semi-arid context - A. Claudia Braga et al. Ana Claudia Braga, Carlos O. Galvao, Enio P. Souza, Enilson P. Cavalcanti, Renato Fernande	134-140
Regional climate change in the Middle East and impact on hydrology in the Upper Jordan catchment - H. Kunstmann et al. Harald Kunstmann, Peter Suppan, Andreas Heckl & Alon Rimmer	141-149
Modelling regional climate change and the impact on surface and sub-surface hydrology in the Volta Basin (West Africa) - G. Jung & H. Kunstmann G. Jung & H. Kunstmann	150-157
Monthly streamflow forecasts for the State of Ceara, Brazil - D. S. Reis Jr. et al. Dirceu S. Reis Jr, Eduardo S. Martins, Luiz Sergio V. Nascimento, Alexandre A. Costa & Ala	158-166
Coupling meteorological and hydrological models for medium-range streamflow forecasts in the Parana Basin - W. Collischonn et al. Walter Collischonn, Daniel Allasia, Carlos E. M. Tucci & Adriano R. Paz	167-174
Experimental hydrometeorological and hydrological ensemble forecasts and their verification in the US National Weather Service - J. Demargne et al. Julie Demargne, Limin Wu, Dong-Jun Seo & John Schaake	177-187
Adjusting ensemble forecast probabilities to reflect several climate forecasts - J. R. Stedinger & Young-Oh Kim Jery R. Stedinger & Young-Oh Kim	188-194
“Outlier” catchments: what can we learn from them in terms of prediction uncertainty in rainfall–runoff modelling ? - N. Le Moine et al. Nicolas Le Moine, Vazken Andreassian, Charles Perrin & Claude Michel	195-203
Understanding sources of uncertainty in flash-flood forecasting for semi-arid regions - T. Wagener et al. Thorsten Wagener, Hoshin Gupta, Soni Yatheendradas, David Goodrich, Carl Unkrich & Mike Sc	204-212
Long-term probabilistic forecasting of snowmelt flood characteristics and the forecast uncertainty - L. Kuchment & A. Gelfan Lev Kuchment & Alexander Gelfan	213-220
Predictive uncertainty in climate change impacts on floods - M. J. Booij et al. Martijn J. Booij, Martijn Huisjes & Arjen Y. Hoekstra	221-228
AMMA forcing data for a better understanding of the West African monsoon - A. Boone & P. deRosnay A. Boone & P. deRosnay	231-241
Improved scenario prediction by using coupled hydrological and atmospheric models - J. Overgaard et al. Jesper Overgaard, Michael B. Butts & Dan Rosbjerg	242-248
Representativeness of point soil moisture observations, upscaling and assimilation - G. J. M. De Lannoy et al. Gabrielle J. M. De Lannoy, Valentijn R. N. Pauwels, Paul R. Houser, Timothy Gish & Niko E.	249-257
Can a land surface model simulate runoff with the same accuracy as a hydrological model ? - O. N. Nasonova & Y. M. Gusev Olga N. Nasonova & Yeugeniy M. Gusev	258-265
Water balance evaluation in Denmark using remote sensing-driven land surface modelling and spatially distributed hydrological modelling - E. Boegh et al. Eva Boegh, Britt S. B. Christensen & Lars Troldborg	266-277
Comparing model performance of the HBV and VIC models in the Rhine basin - A. Te Linde et al. Aline Te Linde, Ruud Hurkmans, Jeroen Aerts & Han Dolman	278-285
Analysis of water resource variability over the irrigated area along the downstream reach of the Yellow River - Huimin Lei et al. Huimin Lei, Dawen Yang, Xinbing Liu & Shinjino Kanae	286-293
Water consumption of Populus euphratica woodlands in an arid region of China - Yonghua Zhu et al. Yonghua Zhu, Liliang Ren & Haishen Lu	294-300
Testing similarity indices to reduce predictive uncertainty in ungauged basins - L. Oudin et al. Ludovic Oudin, Vazken Andreassian, Claudia Rojas-Serna, Nicolas Le Moine & Claude Michel	303-310
The use of physical basin properties and runoff generation concepts as an aid to parameter quantification in conceptual type rainfall–-runoff models - D. Hughes & E. Kapangaziwiri Denis Hughes & Evison Kapangaziwiri	311-318
Regionalization of parameters of hydrological models: inclusion of model parameter uncertainty - S. Bastola et al. Satish Bastola, Hiroshi Ishidaira & Kuniyoshi Takeuchi	319-328
Regionalization for uncertainty reduction in flows in ungauged basins - M. J. Booij et al. Martijn J. Booij, Dave L. E. H. Deckers, Tom H. M. Rientjes & Maarten S. Krol	329-337
Assessment of the watershed yield of the Sakarya River basin, Turkey - S. Isik & V. P. Singh Sabahattin Isik & Vijay P. Singh	338-345
Applicability of the GIUH model to estimate flood peaks from ungauged catchments in arid areas :– a case study for the West Bank - A. Jarrar et al. Ammar Jarrar, Niranjali Jayasuriya, Anan Jayyousi & Maazuza Othman	346-356
Prediction of rainfall-–runoff model parameters in ungauged catchments - M. Zvolensky et al. M. Zvolensky, K. Hlavcova, S. Kohnova & J. Szolgay	357-364
Multilevel river classification as the methodological basis for analysis of maximum runoff values in different geographical regions - E. Asabina Elena Asabina	365-373
The Xinanjiang model from the perspective of PUB - Liliang Ren et al. Liliang Ren, Fei Yuan, Zhongbo Yu, Xiaoli Yang, Rulin Ouyang & Xianghu Li	374-382
Integrating meteorological and uncertainty information in flood forecasting: the FLOODRELIEF project - M. B. Butts et al. Michael B. Butts, Anne Katrine V. Falk, Yunqing Xuan & Ian D. Cluckie	385-397
Reducing the uncertainty of flood forecasts using multi-objective optimization algorithms for parameter estimation - Yan Wang et al. Yan Wang, Christian Gattke & Andreas Schumann	398-406
Effects of soil moisture parameterization on a real-time flood forecasting system based on rainfall thresholds - G. Ravazzani et al. Giovanni Ravazzani, Marco Mancini, Ilaria Giudici & Paolo Amadio	407-416
Estimation of extreme flow quantiles and quantile uncertainty for ungauged catchments - D. H. Burn et al. Donald H. Burn, Taha B. M. J. Ouarda & Chang Shu	417-424
Peak flow estimation under parameter uncertainty in a real-time flood warning system for ungauged basins - D. Biondi & P. Versace Daniela Biondi & Pasquale Versace	425-436
Demonstrating Integrated Forecast and Reservoir Management (INFORM) for northern California in an operational environment - K. P. Georgakakos et al. K. P. Georgakakos, N. E. Graham, A. P. Georgakakos & H. Yao	439-444
Coping with predictive uncertainties in optimization of sustainable water resources - Chin Man Mok et al. Chin Man Mok, Nisai Wanakule, Armen Der Kiureghian, Steven M. Gorelick & Miao Zhang	445-451
RNN-based inflow forecasting applied to reservoir operation via implicit stochastic optimization - C. A. S. De Farias et al. Camilo Allyson Simoes De Farias, Akihiro Kadota, Alcigeimes B. Celeste & Koichi Suzuki	452-462
Effect of uncertainties on the real-time operation of a lowland water system in The Netherlands - S. Weijs et al. Steven Weijs, Elgard van Leeuwen, Peter-Jules van Overloop & Nick van de Giesen	463-470
Data assimilation in a large-scale distributed hydrological model for medium-range flow forecasts - A. R. Da Paz et al. Adriano Rolim Da Paz, Walter Collischonn, Carlos E. M. Tucci, Robin T. Clarke & Daniel All	471-478
Predictive models of reservoir storage-yield-reliability functions: inter-comparison of regression and multi-layer perceptron artificial neural network paradigms - A. Adeloye Adebayo Adeloye	479-486
Analyse des periodes seches pour la gestion d'un barrage au nord de la Tunisie / Analysis of dry periods for dam operation in northern Tunisia - M. Majid & L. Fethi Mathlouthi Majid & Lebdi Fethi	487-496
Hydrological simulation and prediction for environmental change - Jian Yun Zhang et al. Jian Yun Zhang, Zhiyu Liu & Chuanbao Zhu	497-504