Predictions in Ungauged Basins:
International Perspectives on the
State of the Art and
Pathways Forward
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Predictions in Ungauged Basins: |
Edited by
Stewart Franks, Murugesu Sivapalan, Kuniyoshi Takeuchi & Yasuto Tachikawa
Hydrological prediction where data are available is relatively easily achieved, albeit subject to uncertainty that is often unquantified. But, ungauged catchments (by far the majority) present major difficulties for hydrological prediction, hence the IAHS Predictions in Ungauged Basins (PUB) initiative. Recognising the diversity of interests and expertise of hydrologists, and practical prediction needs, PUB has adopted a philosophy of plurality in terms of applications, hydro-climatic regions and prediction methods, yet converges to focus on the assessment, and eventual reduction, of predictive uncertainty as its overall target.
The PUB Workshop held at Perth, Western Australia, brought together researchers and practitioners (from Australia, Japan and elsewhere) to assess current hydrological prediction capabilities, and future research directions to achieve significant improvements given the decline of hydrological gauging networks, natural variability, and long-term climate and land-use changes. This volume is the outcome of those deliberations. It combines chapters presenting innovative theoretical and practical possibilities of different approaches for prediction, with contributions describing the differing perspectives and specific needs of Australia and Japan in particular.
IAHS Publ. 301 (December 2005) ISBN 1-901502-38-4, 348 + xii pp. Full price £60.00 (discounts available for IAHS members)
Order from jilly@iahs.demon.co.uk IAHS Press, CEH Wallingford, Oxon, OX10 8BB, UK
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The 21st Century Center of Excellence for Research and Education on Integrated River Basin Management in Asian Monsoon Region, University of Yamanashi, Kofu, Japan, sponsored this publication. |
CONTENTS
1 International Perspectives on PUB and Pathways Forward: Outcomes of the Perth PUB Workshop (Full Text)
Murugesu Sivapalan, Stewart W. Franks, Kuniyoshi Takeuchi & Yasuto Tachikawa
National, Regional and Global Perspectives on PUB
2 Hydrology as a Policy-Relevant Science in Japan and Monsoon Asia
Kuniyoshi Takeuchi
3 Chinese Perspectives on PUB and the Working Group Initiative
Dawen Yang, Chong Li, Baisheng Ye, Heping Hu, Hong Zhang, Zhiyu Liu & Jun Xia
4 Australian Perspectives on Predictions in Ungauged Basins
Thomas A. McMahon
5 Some Perspectives on Hydrological Prediction and the Role of PUB
Dennis P. Lettenmaier
Nature of Hydrological Predictions: Floods, Droughts, Sediments and Water Quality
6 Drought and Water Resources Management in Japan
Akira Kawamura & Yasuhisa Kuzuha
7 Flood Prediction in Japan and the Need for Guidelines for Flood Runoff Modelling
Yasuto Tachikawa, Roshan K. Shrestha & Takahiro Sayama
8 Current Issues and Research on Sediment Movement in the River Catchments of Japan
Yutaka Ichikawa
9 Flood and Drought Risk in Eastern Australia
Stewart W. Franks
10 Can We Predict Decadal Changes in Southern Hemisphere Climate?
Scott Power, Rob Colman, Xiandong Wang & Pandora Hope
11 Towards Better Prediction of Water Quality in Ungauged Basins
John Bradd
New Data Sources and New Approaches for Hydrological Modelling
12 Standing Back Looking Forward: Role of Satellite Remote Sensing in the Predictions of Ungauged Basins
Venkat Lakshmi
13 New Directions for Top-Down Modelling: Introducing the PUB Top-Down Modelling Working Group
David A. Post, Ian G. Littlewood & Barry F. Croke
14 Derivation of Closure Relations and Commensurate State Variables for Meso-scale Models Using the REW Approach
Erwin Zehe, Haksu Lee & Murugesu Sivapalan
15 Representative Elementary Watershed (REW) Approach: A New Blueprint for Distributed Hydrological Modelling at the Catchment Scale
Haksu Lee, Murugesu Sivapalan & Erwin Zehe
Approaches Towards Greater Process Understanding and Integration
16 The Need for a Virtual Hydrologic Laboratory for PUB
Eric F. Wood, Jan Boll, Patrick Bogaart & Peter A. Troch
17 A Perspective on Hillslope Hydrology in the Context of PUB
Jeffrey J. McDonnell, Brian McGlynn, Kellie Vache & Ilja Tromp-van Meerveld
18 An Interdisciplinary and Hierarchical Approach to the Study and Management of River Ecosystems
Martin C. Thoms
19 Dynamics and Optimality in Coupled Terrestrial Energy, Water, Carbon and Nutrient Cycles
Michael R. Raupach
20 Simplicity, Complexity and Scale in Terrestrial Biosphere Modelling
Michael R. Raupach, Damian J. Barrett, Peter R. Briggs & J. Mac Kirby
21 Towards Reduction of Uncertainty on MEDCLUB (MEDiterranean CLimate Ungauged Basins)
Mauro Fiorentino & Vito Iacobellis
Uncertainty Estimation and Model Identification
22 Physical-Statistical Models for Predictions in Ungauged Basins
Edward P. Campbell
23 A Bayesian View of Rainfall–Runoff Modelling: Alternatives for Parameter Estimation, Model Comparison and Hierarchical Model Development
Ashish Sharma, Lucy Marshall & David Nott
24 PUB as Robust State Estimation
John P. Norton
Strategies Toward Integration: Breakout Group Summaries
25 PUB: Assessing the Need for the Integration of Hydrological Techniques
Stewart W. Franks, Johan Kuylenstierna & Murugesu Sivapalan